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	<title>Tioga Energy Roundtable &#187; ITC</title>
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		<title>Solar Power International 2008 Wrap Up</title>
		<link>http://www.tiogaenergy.com/roundtable/solar-power-international-2008-wrap-up/</link>
		<comments>http://www.tiogaenergy.com/roundtable/solar-power-international-2008-wrap-up/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 21 Oct 2008 18:44:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Preston Roper</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Tioga Energy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CIGS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CSP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[germans]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ITC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[module supply]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PPA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sharp]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[spaniards]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[utility scale solar]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.tiogaenergy.com/roundtable/?p=26</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[by Preston Roper, EVP Corporate Development &#38; Operations, Tioga Energy
General Comments:

Huge attendance growth, doubling to 20,000 visitors from 2007, coupled with extreme segment optimism
High optimism is not yet tempered to the financial/credit crisis and looming, global economic distress
Great parties, with more free food and drink than one could wish for in the fabulous waterfront San [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="MsoNormal" style="0in 0in 10pt;">by Preston Roper, EVP Corporate Development &amp; Operations, Tioga Energy</p>
<p class="MsoNormal">General Comments:</p>
<ul>
<li>Huge attendance growth, doubling to 20,000 visitors from 2007, coupled with extreme segment optimism</li>
<li>High optimism is not yet tempered to the financial/credit crisis and looming, global economic distress</li>
<li>Great parties, with more free food and drink than one could wish for in the fabulous waterfront San Diego setting, which is about as good as one can imagine for a trade show (comfortable hall, great hotel and food access, perfect weather…)</li>
</ul>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">2008 Takeaways:</p>
<ul>
<li>Average commercial PV project sizes continue upward – many, many 1-3MW projects in addition to the sub-megawatts (not to mention small utility and utility scale PV growth)</li>
<li>New products announced last year to great fanfare are close to delivery and/or in low-volume production stages now – think micro-inverters, new CSP, thin film (e.g. CIGS) beyond the existing big names</li>
<li>Big upstream players (cells/modules) are reaching further downstream, some testing the waters (sorry, it’s all NDA), some diving in head first (e.g. Suntech)</li>
<li>Module supply is loosening, but still questionable versus growing demand.<span>  </span>Spot pricing may show much higher volatility than past</li>
<li>This year, not a single person visiting our both – and we had a lot of visitors &#8212; asked “what’s a PPA?” High market acceptance</li>
<li>The Germans are coming!!</li>
<li>The suits are here</li>
<li>Double Decker booths are in! (…to have Sharp’s marketing budget….that’s the life)</li>
</ul>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Looking Forward</p>
<ul>
<li>In many Europeans’ eyes, we are a fledgling industry, ripe for cost reduction, standardization (product, incentives, process, etc.) and large-scale deployment rolled out six-sigma style.<span>  </span>It&#8217;s going to be interesting.</li>
<li>The big supply constraint for 2009 C&amp;I PV may be financing.<span>  </span>Caveat Emptor.</li>
<li>The utilities are on the way…think of the deafening, equipment sucking sound otherwise known as Spain…are the utilities, utilizing the ITC, to become the “Spain” of North America?</li>
<li>Fancy trackers, intricate CSP devices…do we really need all that complicated stuff to make cheap electrons?</li>
<li>The Germans are coming (did I already say that?).<span>  </span>The Spaniards are sitting across the aisle in first class, enjoying the exchange rate.</li>
</ul>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Great show, great week, huge opportunities.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Preston</p>
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